Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.444717 0.488328 0.535069 0.589009 0.649688 0.716005 0.794195
2025-11-02 0.375957 0.437049 0.507235 0.594351 0.700293 0.825863 0.987312
2025-11-09 0.327626 0.395180 0.476396 0.582231 0.717975 0.888252 1.121232
2025-11-16 0.300350 0.373293 0.464307 0.587803 0.753483 0.971693 1.286996
2025-11-23 0.275189 0.350523 0.447445 0.583480 0.773070 1.033465 1.428136
2025-11-30 0.257384 0.335104 0.437883 0.586631 0.801322 1.107927 1.594121
2025-12-07 0.238648 0.316549 0.422018 0.578752 0.811978 1.156731 1.726008
2025-12-14 0.222721 0.300424 0.407886 0.571491 0.821891 1.204114 1.859889
2025-12-21 0.205159 0.280652 0.386940 0.552107 0.811049 1.217423 1.938333
2025-12-28 0.197815 0.274894 0.385617 0.561709 0.845460 1.305223 2.153282
2026-01-04 0.190485 0.268571 0.382844 0.568550 0.875614 1.388481 2.370675
2026-01-11 0.182903 0.261323 0.378060 0.571600 0.899412 1.462802 2.581066
2026-01-18 0.175502 0.254023 0.372885 0.573878 0.922575 1.539328 2.808926
2026-01-25 0.169300 0.248193 0.369608 0.578988 0.951062 1.628559 3.076176
2026-02-01 0.159999 0.236959 0.356977 0.567247 0.948252 1.658694 3.224286
2026-02-08 0.154993 0.232223 0.354497 0.572646 0.976931 1.751973 3.523240
2026-02-15 0.148481 0.224689 0.346924 0.568458 0.987151 1.809592 3.750975
2026-02-22 0.143823 0.219904 0.343601 0.571511 1.011269 1.897766 4.064498
2026-03-01 0.137557 0.212139 0.334777 0.563877 1.013715 1.940710 4.275175
2026-03-08 0.131825 0.204984 0.326600 0.556842 1.016663 1.984877 4.496318
2026-03-15 0.124486 0.194794 0.312646 0.538056 0.994154 1.970708 4.563038
2026-03-22 0.122200 0.193088 0.313450 0.547362 1.030455 2.092415 5.017204
2026-03-29 0.119605 0.190713 0.312915 0.553991 1.061634 2.206000 5.471997